India’s Strategic Maneuvering Over Indus Waters Treaty Raises Concerns

ISLAMABAD: Since April 2025, India has unilaterally suspended the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT), a move that many analysts view as a politically motivated decision by the BJP-led NDA government. However, recent developments indicate that New Delhi is pursuing a long-term strategy aimed at economically constraining Pakistan.

India’s focus appears to be on the Chenab River, which it is transforming into a strategic tool to influence Pakistan’s foreign policy, undermine its position on Kashmir, and assert dominance in bilateral relations. Over the past 18 months, India has aggressively exploited the suspension of the IWT to construct an extensive network of storage, regulation, and diversion infrastructure on the Chenab, with hydroelectric power projects in the region increasing from a capacity of 3,263 MW to 7,620.5 MW.

This escalation in infrastructure development raises significant concerns for Pakistan, as it could lead to severe water shortages and impact agricultural productivity. The strategic manipulation of water resources not only threatens Pakistan’s economy but also complicates the already tense relations between the two nations.

Looking ahead, it is crucial for Pakistan to engage in diplomatic efforts to address these challenges. Upcoming discussions on water-sharing agreements and international mediation may be necessary to mitigate the risks posed by India’s actions.